WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 9
OLD HOTSPOTS, NEW HOTSPOTS. A few hotspots seem to be in good decline and cooling down while several states are on their way to become new potential hotspots. New York still overwhelms and drives the curve more than the rest of the country combined with New Jersey following. California, Connecticut, Georgia, and Washington State seem to be coming under control with their rates of growth in real decline. The following states I view as at-risk based on cursory analysis: Florida, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and Wisconsin. The rest of the nation has, thus far, declined to participate in this pandemic. Be happy if your state was not listed but don't stop being responsible. That means balancing heath and economic considerations smartly. The general national trend seems to be an overall improvement but definitely jittery. Rates of growth for incidents is sideways (tiny bit up) and for death pretty much sideways (more lower but that's compared to a big jump two days ago). Likely it means that the nation is experiencing multiple (2 - 3 as I figure) independent curves and my current model's usefulness is in decline. I'll try to make progress on the new one this weekend.
Given a total of 2,378,143 total tests completed in America, our new total for incidents is 457,963 (+34,799), up slightly to an increase of 8.22% over the previous day (+0.44% from yesterday). Deaths have totaled 16,339 (+1,904) which is an increase of 13.14% (-1.71% rate of growth) over the previous day. Since the peak in Mar 19, rates of growth for incidents has fallen by 43.41% and for deaths has fallen by 29.72%. 165,144 tests were completed yesterday which is a positive move but still too slow.