Entries
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 26
- Yesterday I published a projection that failed to hit today - and that's Good News (TM)! We expected to hit 100,000 total incidents in USA but we only got 99,447. Our rate of growth for new incidents has fallen to 23.18% from a high of 51.64% on Mar 19 - that's a total drop of 28%! Understand that (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 25
- Deaths, as projected, broke 1000 today at 1,163 holding steady at 31.12% with a mortality rate of 1.44%. Tomorrow, incidents will break 100,000 as they hit 80,735 today. The rate of growth of incidents moved up slightly after four days of consecutive reductions but is still following the reduced (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 24
- Major break through yesterday - for the first time since our model has made projections (since March 17) for rate of growth for incidents, the actual number has come in lower than the projection! If this holds then it means America has "crossed the line" and has started a declining trend confirming (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 23
- Too soon to call it - but yesterday's numbers were the best ever in terms of direction of numbers. The rate of everything's increase is dropping significantly. Can't say if this is a confirmation that we did reach peak growth during the Mar 18-23 time frame or if reporting stations simply didn't (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 23
- So far, the numbers are behaving exactly as we projected if America's rate of growth for incidents peaked on March 19th. That's great news. A few more days of this and it'll definitely be a trend and we can start projecting end dates and size of impact. There were 51,970 total cases which is only a (Read more)