Not Your Demographic

Assertions so counter intuitive and nonsensical - they must be true!

Cogent insights by Benjamin Scherrey

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WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 22

Rate of growth continues to level off at pretty much the same level as yesterday at 36.91% for 31,767 total cases whereas rates of death has risen to 44.85% for 394 total deaths in USA. This is the kind of behavior we would expect to see if America has peaked in terms of rate of growth of (Read more)
WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 21

Tentative but promising news for America today. Both rates of incidents and rate of death have fallen for two days straight. 23,203 total incidents (+31.89%) and 272 deaths (+24.20%) with a total of 182,697 (+31.89%) tested makes for a positive general trend this Saturday. We're now on track for (Read more)
WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR MARCH 20

Even when you're used to building projections, it feels kinda strange when your next data point goes precisely how you said it would from the prior data point. Well that's what we have today. Don't worry - that's as much of a fluke as anything - we still don't have a clear indication as to when (Read more)
Some BONUS Analysis of the Wuhan-virus from W.A.C.O. HQ!

Lots of people have been comparing America's situation to Italy's so I thought I was check and see what, if it does correlate, that might mean for America.

Italy's rate of growth of new incidents peaked on March 7th at 27% and has declined to 14.5% today. The US/Italy incident alignment puts (Read more)

DAILY WUHAN-VIRUS UPDATE FOR MARCH 19th

Big big news! Total cases jumps 51.64% to 11,723 in one day - and that's a GOOD THING (TM)! See the next paragraph for why that is. Deaths jump a record 42.86% (total of 160) and that's not so good - but, still keeps us on trend for a death rate under 1% this month.

I've just now had a chance (Read more)

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