Entries
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 19
- WEEKEND DATA IS WEAK DATA. Exactly, again, as predicted, everything is down lower and is expected to continue to decline until possibly Monday but most likely Tuesday. I'm just reporting stats for completeness sake but expect by Tuesday that these numbers will all be corrected upwards and the trend (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 18
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LACK OF TESTS HAS MADE INCIDENTS COUNTS NOT JUST WORTHLESS - BUT DANGEROUSLY MISLEADING! It's scary when your projections come in waaay under the margin of error so that it appears you are psychic. Inexperienced stat people declare, "SUCCESS!" The rest of us go... "oh crap - we failed." Well (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 17
- SLIGHT DECLINES TIL TUESDAY? As projected, both rates of growth (rog) for new incidents and deaths are slightly down today but really can't call this anything but a sideways move because we know they're gonna push new big death numbers on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Stanford has conducted a remarkable (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 16
- CHOPPY WATERS - SIDEWAYS MOVES. Both rates of growth (rog) for new incidents and deaths are slightly down today but really can't call this anything but a sideways move for now. As projected, we broke 30,000 deaths today and will hit 35,000 within two days except that's likely not to be reported til (Read more)
- WUHAN VIRUS DAILY UPDATE FOR APRIL 15
- BUMPY RIDE COMING. NEW CURVES AHEAD? Today we saw the decline in our rate of growth (rog) for new incidents appear to stop. It's actually up half a percent over yesterday after 5 days of consecutive and significant declines. The rog for deaths basically went sideways, down only slightly over (Read more)