Not Your Demographic

Assertions so counter intuitive and nonsensical - they must be true!

Cogent insights by Benjamin Scherrey

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DAILY UPDATE:

I'll be making a new post in a few days with new projections as day by day numbers don't make for good trend reporting but they are useful in terms of details. You can see my original post here: FACEBOOK POST

Yesterday (Mar 17) we had a larger than average bump in incidents and a slightly larger than expected bump in deaths. There are now 5,723 known cases and 90 total deaths in USA which is a rate of growth increase of 42.4% - the second largest rate of growth increase since tracking on March 8th. The upside is that the rate of death continues to decline - now down to 1.57% from a high of 2.74%.

Alabama jumped from 28 to 36 cases (no deaths). California jumped from 335 cases and 6 deaths to 483 cases and 11 deaths. Colorado went from 131 to 160 (only 1 death thus far), Connecticut jumped from 26 to 41 (no deaths), Illinois jumps from 93 to 160 and reported their first death. New Jersey jumps from 98 to 178 incidents but death toll of 2 remains the same. New York is impacted big growing from 729 cases and 3 deaths to 950 cases and 7 total deaths. Washington state grows from 769 incidents and 42 deaths to 904 incidents and 48 deaths. Wisconsin jumps from 47 to 72 incidents but still no reported deaths.

No surprise - dense cities with a large dependency on public transportation are going to remain the hardest hit and people in those areas need to take extra precautions.

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